1. I Used to Fear Suspicious Spreads & Trap Games.

    Below, you will see one of my favorite writers’ thoughts on the Thursday Night game.

    I thought the 49ers would lose to Philly and possibly lose to Washington & Cleveland as trap games. I was dead wrong.

    The 49ers are 9-1 right now and 9-0-1 ATS. Vegas has no implications on this game. I’d bet the money line on this one and root my ass off on this one because James Joseph Harbaugh cares little about Vegas, the Mafia, and Tim Donaghy.

    Now, here’s Bill Simmons’:

    RAVENS (-3) over Niners
    We know what we have with the 2011 Ravens at this point — they play directly to the level of their competition, much like how Sam Jackson can be an asset in the right movie or a self-parody in the wrong one. More important, are you really ready to wager on Alex Smith — on the road, in a short week, in a nationally televised game — against a good defense and a fired-up crowd? And how many games are the Niners going to cover, anyway? They’re not just 9-1; in this column (in which we used Friday-morning lines) they’re 9-0-1 against the spread right now. The one push? That heartbreaking loss by three to Dallas (a game San Francisco gave away) in Week 2. I don’t care how good your coach is, and how reliable your defense is … you can’t exceed Vegas’ expectations EVERY week, right? It’s impossible. I’d like to add one more thing that I’m thankful for this week: the chance to lay three points with a good home team that’s playing Alex Smith after a stretch in which his team exceeded every conceivable gambling expectation.

    —The Pick: Baltimore 27, San Francisco 16

    2. 6 months ago  Notes (1)
      1. fungkeefresh reblogged this from makeasubtlestatement and added:
        those believers that believes Vegas do control outcomes of...does not give a way free...
      2. makeasubtlestatement posted this